How Democrats Beat ‘Red Wave’ And Why Republicans Might Still Control US Congress

The votes in the US midterm elections are still being counted and the competition for a Senate seat is too close to trigger. Winning that seat would return control of the US Senate to the Democratic Party.

The US parliament is called the US Congress and it has two chambers. The upper house is the Senate and the lower house is the House of Representatives. In the 2022 midterm elections, 35 of 100 Senate seats and all 435 House seats were contested. Additionally, 36 states also elected governors.

On Saturday evening (India time), most projections put the Republicans and Democrats tied at 49 in the Senate, while the Republicans are comfortably poised to win a majority in the House. NBC News predicted that Republicans have 220 seats in the House, crossing the 218 majorities mark.

The only Senate seat too close to call is Nevada State. Projections put the Republican nominee in the lead by a narrow margin.

Here, we explain the US midterm elections, what the latest count is, and how it will still take weeks to find out which party will control the US Congress.

What do we know about the US mid-term results?

We know two things for sure.

First, the Democrats beat the Republican red wave. Republicans were expected to win 54 to 55 Senate seats, but they are tied with Democrats at 49 according to the latest figures.

Second, despite their unexpectedly poor performance, the Republicans could still control the US Congress. This may happen because Republicans are already expected to win the House. If they also win the last two undecided seats in the Senate, they will end up controlling the Senate as well.

Along with Nevada, Georgia’s Senate seat is also undecided. He went to what is called a “playoff” election. A second round is a second round of election which takes place when no candidate obtains 50% of the votes. Georgia’s runoff election will take place on Dec. 6, meaning control of the US Congress could remain undecided until then.

Most projections put Republicans and Democrats tied at 49 in the Senate. This means that if the Republicans won both Nevada and Georgia, they would get a majority. However, Democrats only have to win one of those two seats. Notably, the Democratic Party candidate got the most votes in Georgia. He went to the second round because a third independent candidate won enough votes to deprive both Democratic and Republican candidates of the chance to win 50% of the vote.

Democrats can secure a majority with just 50 seats in the 100-seat Senate as Vice President Kamala Harris would become the 51st deciding vote. The Vice President of the United States presides over the United States Senate, in the same way that the Vice President of India is the President of Rajya Sabha. His right to vote would give the Democrats a majority in the Senate.

As a result, the odds are now in favor of the Democrats in the Senate, as they must win only one of the two remaining seats. In Georgia, the Democrats were already in the lead and Nevada remains too close to be called.

How Democrats Beat Republican Red Wave

Not only did Republicans fail to snatch a number of Senate seats held by Democrats, but they also lost a seat to Democrats that they held.

The situation in which one party wins a seat held by the other is called a “flip”. Democrats flipped Pennsylvania’s Senate seat.

Pennsylvania’s flip was also significant as it became the most high-profile midterm contest and proxy contest between President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump as both endorsed rival candidates and campaigned for them.

Top Republican leader Senator Lindsay Graham said the performance was “definitely not a Republican wave”.

He said BNC News“Definitely not a Republican wave, that’s damn sure. I think we’re going to be at 51.52 when it’s all said and done in the Senate. If we get the House back, and we get the Senate majority, that’s a very good night A wave would have been New Hampshire and Colorado.

Some of the main reasons cited for the better-than-expected performance by Democrats are the issue of abortion rights, the negative impact of Trump’s influence on the Republican Party and the limits of anti-Biden sentiment.

The United States recently experienced the worst inflation in decades and there is great concern about the general state of the US economy. Yet the angst over the Biden administration has not translated into a defeat for his fellow Democrats.

The Washington Examiner note: “Republicans thought the midterm elections would be on their favorite topic: criticizing Biden and congressional Democrats over a lame economy. rights… From his Mar-a-Lago estate in South Florida, the former president [Trump] tried to play the role of captain and kingmaker for Congressional Republicans… But that’s not how the midterm elections turned out for Trump. Many of its hand-picked candidates have been defeated or struggled in otherwise winnable races.”

Trump picked a lot of flawed candidates and he backed them more on himself than the candidates on the ballots. As a result, a large number of unwinnable Republican candidates were filled in, who served as ill-equipped Trump proxies. They have been defeated.

The Importance of U.S. Midterm Polls

The US midterm elections are important because controlling Congress is key to Biden’s legislative agenda.

The United States has a proper separation of the different branches of power. The president—the executive branch—and Congress—the legislature—are elected separately.

The US President depends on the US Congress to fund the government when the budget is passed by Congress. If a party opposed to the president wins Congress, it could lead to a stalemate where passage of the budget is delayed due to ideological and political struggles. This leads to shutdowns where the government has no money to run its offices and pay salaries.

If the Republicans win a majority, the legislative agenda of Biden and his fellow Democrats is bound to stall. It comes at a time when Biden is pushing for action on climate change, abortion rights, voter rights, gun regulations, and more.

US midterm elections a win for Biden, a loss for Trump

The consensus, regardless of the end result of the US Congress, is that Trump has emerged as the loser of the US midterm elections.

Indeed, his pitch against Biden and his most favored candidates lost and he is seen as one of the main causes of Red Wave’s failure.

Additionally, Florida Governor Ron DeSantis’ victory puts him in good stead to emerge as the Republican presidential nominee against Biden in 2024. Trump mocked DeSentis.

The Biden administration has struggled with low approval ratings and criticism over inflation and the general state of the economy in recent months. A good performance is a respite for the administration.

“The midterm election results have strengthened President Joe Biden’s hand and weakened former President Donald Trump’s. This is the starting point on the road to the White House,” notes Examiner, adding that Biden appears to have performed better in midterm polls than former Democratic Presidents Barack Obama and Bill Clinton. Biden and Clinton have both served second terms.

Examiner further notes: “Biden was the big Democratic winner. He was able to hold the anti-Trump coalition together enough to avoid defeat in a number of competitive races. His campaign travel agenda, anti-MAGA [Make America Great Again] the messages and predictions that the race would ultimately swing back to the Democrats appear to be justified. He looks stronger than Clinton or Obama in the aftermath of their first midterm elections, and they both won a second term.”

The most high-profile loss for Republicans came in Pennsylvania, where the contest turned into a proxy battle between Biden and Trump. Biden-backed Democratic Lieutenant Governor John Fetterman defeated Trump-backed Mehmet Oz.

Pennsylvania’s midterm elections were the most expensive in America with up to $200 million spent by both parties.

Pennsylvania is expected to be a key swing state in the 2024 US presidential elections and that’s why the result is significant.

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